The 4 years USA Presidential Cycle Trading strategy

The 4 years USA Presidential Cycle Trading strategy

Hello everyone,
Here is a well-known strategy, and very effective.
We buy a US index in the 3rd year of the presidential cycle, and sell the following year.
Actually, indices (such as Dow Jones, S&P500) raise because periods of presidential campaigns, whose promises make indices to grow.

I had to adapt some dates with the symbols ” >= ” , because there are days when September 30 for example is not a business day.
The strategy is profitable nearly each time.
The test was launched since 1982, but actually by launching the strategy in 1932, it is almost always positive (just 2 short years with low losses ).

Share this

Risk disclosure:

No information on this site is investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading may expose you to risk of loss greater than your deposits and is only suitable for experienced investors who have sufficient financial means to bear such risk.

ProRealTime ITF files and other attachments : How to import ITF files into ProRealTime platform?

New! PRC is also now on YouTube, subscribe to our channel for exclusive content and tutorials

  1. gianlox • 05/15/2016 #

    This did not expect .. 🙂

  2. CKW • 05/15/2016 #

     Thanks Doctrading for sharing
    Is this Daily Time frame?

  3. Doctrading • 05/15/2016 #

    Yes, it is daily timeframe.

  4. air • 05/15/2016 #

    Good job. 

Register or


avatar avatar avatar avatar avatar avatar avatar avatar avatar
Related users ' posts
Darren Nash Thanks Souhail, in the end i just copy/paste the logic with variables and it works. I rem...
Darren Nash One thing to note also for DOW trading if using IG, change the buy/sell qty from 1 to 2
mostafa samady How can I optimize it for DAX 30? Thanks!
scarphace38 Bonsoir, je découvre PRT et je n'arrive pas a afficher le meme résultat pour l'indicateur de...
Dom Hello, commence le trading et découvre par la même occasion le ce n...
Nicolas Merci, ça fait plaisir !
hartgeld Hallo Atxeel, sehr interessanter Code, habe das installiert und funktioniert. Danke! Kannst ...
atxeel Hallo hartgeld, die Ziele sind schlicht, bspw. die Range beträgt 10 Punkte, dann ist das Zie...
rama what you see on probacktest is like dreaming on a day time (not even sleep), most of the str...
jobswaps vaya eres increible
jobswaps sigue subiendo mas contenido
Nicolas Sorry for the problem. It should be fixed now. Post code and refresh the page, then codes sh...
jens_kittner Since 2018 this strategy leads to bankruptcy)))))))
Jan Wind You do not HAVE to run it
JanWd Hi Francesco, nice algorithme, works with me on other markets as well !
Francesco78 thank you Janwd. Do you mind sharing where it works? happy new year!
Aaron Bennett Nice analysis, with the proposed tweak I'm seeing great performance since 2008/QE on the CAC...
JR1976 NOthing change ... tried with CFD US500 cash mini
EchnatonX Hallo Im Demomodus bei IG habe ich das Problem, dass oft keine Orders ausgeführt werden kön...
Jan EchnatonX, nice late answer of me: Make the stop loss a percentage of the close, like 100/...
Doctrading AH ok, I think the ca3 is the same : ca3 = pB[1] < 0.2 and pB < 0.2 Best regards,
chromosome21 Hello everybody, First, thank you so much for all your advices, I'm a begginer in trading a...
bertrandpinoy bonjour j ai un probleme avec ce code modifié, apparement PRT ne veut pas...avez vous une so...
Iber0 Asi quedaria con el spread de IG [IMG][/IMG]
bjoern Seems to work nice on BUND - M15 with SL 70 and TP 120 I tried to backtest this code but don't get any restults. Can any body help me?
Fabio Anthony Terrenzio this strategy works only in a well defined trend
brosly Good afternoon I am trying to get the complete code of lex strategy made by adolfo since I s...
dreif123 hi Adolfo, is Alex Auto Trading Botindex working on DAX as well ? if so , can you post the...