The 4 years USA Presidential Cycle Trading strategy

The 4 years USA Presidential Cycle Trading strategy
Hello everyone,
Here is a well-known strategy, and very effective.
We buy a US index in the 3rd year of the presidential cycle, and sell the following year.
Actually, indices (such as Dow Jones, S&P500) raise because periods of presidential campaigns, whose promises make indices to grow.

I had to adapt some dates with the symbols " >= " , because there are days when September 30 for example is not a business day.
The strategy is profitable nearly each time.
The test was launched since 1982, but actually by launching the strategy in 1932, it is almost always positive (just 2 short years with low losses ).
// CYCLE PRESIDENTIEL USA
Defparam cumulateorders = false

//TAILLE DES POSITIONS
N = 2 // à adapter selon DJ, S&P500, etc.


// CYCLE PRESIDENTIEL DE 4 ANS
ANNEEDEBUT = 1982

IF year >= (ANNEEDEBUT + CYCL) and month >= 09 and day >= 25 THEN
buy n shares at market
ENDIF

IF year >= (ANNEEDEBUT + CYCL + 1) and month >= 12 and day >= 25 THEN
sell at market
CYCL = CYCL + 4
ENDIF
Risk disclosure:

No information on this site is investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading may expose you to risk of loss greater than your deposits and is only suitable for experienced investors who have sufficient financial means to bear such risk.

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  1. gianlox • 247 days ago #

    This did not expect .. 🙂

     

  2. CKW • 233 days ago #

     Thanks Doctrading for sharing

    Is this Daily Time frame?

     

  3. Doctrading • 233 days ago #

    Hello,

    Yes, it is daily timeframe.

  4. air • 146 days ago #

    Good job. 

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