Ichimoku Trend or Range? Created by Rohan Posthumus

Ichimoku Trend or Range? Created by Rohan Posthumus

Hello everybody,

I have tested a lot of systems and indicators and fell in love with the Ichimoku indicator. I am currently on a mission to quantify trading aspects of the indicator in order to backtest and optimize it.

One of the things that I often read about the Ichimoku indicator is that “it loses its validity in range markets”. What I have done here is to create my own indicator in order to reverse engineer the statement – when the Ichimoku loses its validity, the markets is ranging.

The indicator works as follows:

When both the current and future cloud have the same color, the market is trending, but when there is color changes, the market is ranging. The indicator gives a value of +2 or -2 for bullish or bearish trending respectively. The indicator gives +1 or -1 when the market is bullish or bearish range respectively. A value of 0 indicates chopiness or that the close is in the cloud (do not trade). This indicator serves as a setup indicator – it only shows when to long or short and what strategy to follow and is not intended to be used as entry signals. For example, when the indicator is +1 you have a bullish range setup, and when the RSI(14) is coming out of overbought you have a buy entry. Or if you have a -2 and the RSI(14) crosses down 50 you have a swing trade short entry.  A weakness of the indicator is that it does not allow Kumo breakouts and therefore misses the start of trends. It is good for swing trading and range trading.

I am new to programming and ProRealTime, so I welcome any improvements. Below is the code.

 

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  1. Souk Diaby • 313 days ago #

    Thanks a lot, will check this indicator asap 🙂
    have a nice trading day

  2. Rohan • 312 days ago #

    Pleasure Souk, please let me know if you have ideas to improve it. I am trying to incorporate something with volatility into it, but am not sure.  
    Thanks, you too!

  3. but but • 180 days ago #

    what the difference of this 2 cloud?
    SpanA = (tenkansen[26]+kijunsen[26])/2
    SpanB = (highest[52](high[26])+lowest[52](low[26]))/2
     
    FutureSpanA = (tenkansen+kijunsen)/2
    FutureSpanB = (highest[52](high)+lowest[52](low))/2
     
    Span AB cloud is move back to today, and    FutureSpanAB  cloud move to 26 day  Future, so they must be same , how can i get the result of SpanA < SpanB and FutureSpanA > FutureSpanB ???

  4. Rohan • 180 days ago #

    Good morning,
    Just to clarify, the main idea here is to compare the cloud directly above/below price with the cloud in the future. E.g. should they be the same color, price are making higher highs and higher lows i.e. trending. To do this, you have to take today’s cloud (which is the previous period’s future cloud) and compare it to today’s future cloud. So you are not comparing one cloud that moves but you are comparing 2 clouds both moved forward. Do to a lack of a better name, I called one future cloud but both are in fact a future cloud but just for 2 different periods.
    Hope this helps??

  5. but but • 179 days ago #

    clear, it seems to be an interesting idea

  6. Rohan • 179 days ago #

    Thanks. It sometimes tests better when you remove the “close” part of the code – only look at the clouds. Try adding volatility or momentum conditions…

  7. gabri • 45 days ago #

    Ichimoku is one of the best trend indicator ever together with the Guppy EMA’s. I agree with you, with some momentum indicator it gets super precise.

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