Popular Rule Based Model (200/38) for Long Term Wealth and avoiding Bear Markets

Popular Rule Based Model (200/38) for Long Term Wealth and avoiding Bear Markets

This Trading System is “long only” to play because stock markets should going up in the long run. (long only) bias.

The Idea is to have the 200 day simple moving average and buy if the 38 day simple moving average is 3 % over the 200 day average and sell all when its cross 3 % under the 200 day moving average.

for lazy investors this is the weekly system. you have to check only on weekends the systems and place you bets on monday.

no stops, no money management. everytime all is investment long.

the advantge from the system is, you gain wealth long term with lower draw downs because you avoid the big bear markets with this simple system.

no optimization it needed.

when the sytem ist flat, you can invest in bond market, to profit more from bear market.

the system works stable with all big markets, for example

  • DAX30
  • MDAX (prefered)
  • TecDAx (prefered)
  • Nasdaq
  • Dow Jones
  • Nikkei
  • SP500
  • Stoxx 600
  • MSCI World…

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Risk disclosure:

No information on this site is investment advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading may expose you to risk of loss greater than your deposits and is only suitable for experienced investors who have sufficient financial means to bear such risk.

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  1. matger51 • 04/17/2018 #

    Thanks for this strategy, simple but efficient as i see

  2. Daniel da Costa • 04/17/2018 #

    Thankyou! It would be nice to have this as a screener.

  3. AngelPujalt • 363 days ago #

    Quisiera saber si este modelo de cribador repinta. Saludos

  4. odin • 360 days ago #

    look at the screener i upload a new rule based screener for this strategy to find long canditates.

  5. JanWd • 357 days ago #

    Very nice strategy, it does work indeed !! Very long time perspective. You can use this strategy to decide to sell or hold your stock index portfolio.
    Disadvantage is that it sells by opening next bar, which is opening next monday;
    Maybe it is possible to let this strategy trade, based upon the week end close value at the end of the week [close trade at close of the week].
    KR Jan vd Wind

  6. Mary • 281 days ago #

    Hi Odin, thank you very much for the strategy. You said there is a screener you posted for this strategy, but when I look at your posts, there seems to be many screeners. Which one is the best one for this strategy? Thank you again.

  7. Tradingrob • 183 days ago #

    Is it possible to make this indicator also suitable for dax30, s&p500, mdax50, and even for the continuous futuredata (xxxx), those do not work at this moment.

  8. Pablo Jimenez • 175 days ago #

    Hello, Odin , thanks for this amazing strategy. One question , would it work for indexes cfd and not only for their stocks ?? Thanks for your time

  9. Juanjo • 22 days ago #

    Hola, Gracias por la estrategia. Cuando comentas que funciona para todos los mercados, …¿funciona tambien para acciones?

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