DAX Parabolic System

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Viewing 15 posts - 1 through 15 (of 15 total)
  • #114991
    AE

    Hi guys,

    Let me show you this simple strategy using SAR. It use a simple SAR with two filters (stochastic and macd) to select better operations.

    I have a lot of fake signals but anyway winners are better than lossers so it make money.

    It works for DAX 1h.

    Any idea to improve this strategy?

     

     

    1 user thanked author for this post.
    #114997

    Thanks for sharing with us online.

    With TS = 55, I get attached error message and the Strategy stopped at the red arrowheads.

    Do you get same over 100k bars?

    #115000

    But with TS = 75 I get attached … much better! 🙂

    #115003

    And using the TS code found at Log 65 here …

    Snippet Link Library

    I get attached … better again! 🙂

     

     

     

    1 user thanked author for this post.
    #115007
    AE

    In deed, with no TS you will get the best result, but the DD is more high. Check the picture

    Ideas to improve it? 😀

    #115009

    With TS = 55, I get attached error message and the Strategy stopped at the red arrowheads.

    You’ve unfortunately hit on a tick by tick data hole. I see this error quite often on the DJI daily when using tick by tick because there is a day sometime in 2010 that has data problems or no tick by tick and if a trade happens to be open on this day then the strategy crashes and gives me that error message.

    1 user thanked author for this post.
    #115010

    Thank you Vonasi … I had no thoughts on what had caused the stoppage … ‘tick by tick data hole’ … I like it (well only the description! 🙂

    #168979

    Hello.

    Forgive my ignorance and my English, I am new.

    Applying it to Gold I get this (photo attached).

    As you see ???. Thanks. Greetings.

    #168990

    @DECO2021

    What’s your question exactly, is it too good to be true or is it not as good as expected?

    Did you include spread?

    Did you use tick-by-tick mode?

    How many lots/contracts did you trade each time?

    Please post the ITF file you have used.

     

    #171658

    Hi, I’d improved this system with fix stop loss and take profit and Nicolas’s trailing stop. I add a condition that close trade on friday after time that I setted.

    I attach file and images of equity and report. In my opinion we have to filter much better, because there are a lot of trade and we have to consider overnight costs (if someone expert coder can do that).

    I backtested this system from 2010 to now with tick by tick mode with 2point spread.

    #171662

    Beware of the drawdown

    1 user thanked author for this post.
    #182267

    I came across this in the library – thanks to AE for sharing.

    Made a few changes, tweaked the numbers here and there, I’m sure there’s still room for improvement.

    ***Optimized on 100% of data so still needs out of sample testing***

    No reason this shouldn’t be re-optimized for the NAS, SP etc.

     

    3 users thanked author for this post.
    #182326

    Hi – like the look of the results.  Was wondering, if you optimise on 100% of the data wouldn’t this effectively curve fit the results shown?  So a higher risk that it may fall flat once live? Trying to learn – thanks

    #182329

    that’s why it needs out of sample testing. put it on demo for a few months, see what happens.

    Or, you can do your own 70/30 optimization if you prefer.

    I find testing in demo to be more reliable as it more closely resembles real trading conditions (changes in the spread, overnight fees etc)

     

    1 user thanked author for this post.
    #182333

    That’s a good point.  I have done the same, optimised a strategy on a 70/30 split then run in demo, and finally launched in an incubation phase on small size to test for a period of time.  The issue is that the live trades don’t always match up to the back test trades (some trades are completely missing or there is a difference in profit/loss that is greater than the spread).

    After all that I look to only keep those strategies which have a 90% or greater match between back test and live results.  Optimising becomes dangerous if used excessively, but even still you will always get a difference between live and back test.

Viewing 15 posts - 1 through 15 (of 15 total)

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