DAX favourite market
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- This topic has 9 replies, 6 voices, and was last updated 4 years ago by Vonasi.
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10/18/2019 at 12:56 PM #110495
After reading many posts on this forum, and also trying strategies myself. It always seem that the German market DAX gives the best results.
Most of the “paper successful” strategies on the site are mostly associated to the DAX.
Is my impression correct ? Anyone has some explanation for this ?
10/18/2019 at 1:14 PM #11049910/18/2019 at 1:28 PM #11050110/19/2019 at 6:10 AM #11054610/20/2019 at 1:40 AM #11061410/20/2019 at 9:01 AM #110617Forex is a market that often moves with US economic news, most Systems trading is looking for revenue following a trend and therefore indices are best suited for an Automatic system.
10/20/2019 at 9:34 AM #110618The stock market trend is your friend and there is no reason to fight it. On Wall Street they say: “Trend is your friend, don’t fight the trend”! This way of saying explains how following the trend of a quote is much more advantageous than opening financial positions against it, which is more difficult in the currency market.
10/20/2019 at 12:02 PM #110633The volatility of any index is directly related to a few different factors.
- How many stocks are in the index.
- What currency are those companies accounts declared in.
- What is the quality of the companies.
The SP500 has 505 stocks in it so one companies share price has little effect on the overall index. The DAX has just 30 companies in it so if one shoots up or down then it has a large effect on the index price.
The FTSE100 obviously has more stocks than the DAX but many of those companies declare in dollars and so what is happening to the dollar can effect the FTSE quite a lot rather than what one companies price is doing as most of the companies values are dragged up and down with the movements of the dollar.
The FTSE250 is more volatile than the FTSE100 despite having a lot more companies in it because the companies have a smaller capital worth and so trading them is more of a casino where you are gambling on a small fry becoming big. This can lead to volatility as money piles into the new best thing and out of last weeks new best thing that turned out not to be that good a thing.
Forex is just the banks playing the numbers and making profit whether a currency goes up or down – which is why it can appear very random and a difficult nut to crack. The banks know where all the orders are and just hoover them up by manipulating the markets to go in whichever direction gets them the most orders.
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10/20/2019 at 1:38 PM #110638As written above by Vonasi, it is easy to understand that the majority of Systems trading are on the DAX and on the S&P 500, in addition to being those that over time feel less of the changes taking place on the markets.
10/20/2019 at 7:32 PM #110659As written above by Vonasi, it is easy to understand that the majority of Systems trading are on the DAX and on the S&P 500, in addition to being those that over time feel less of the changes taking place on the markets.
The DAX is pretty volatile because it only has 30 companies in it. I don’t know what currency they all trade in but I would guess it is the Euro mainly so they are less effected by dollar basket moves perhaps – just a guess.
The SP500 is less effected by one or two big moves by one or two companies but is heavily moved by news and economic data by comparison which is why it is actually a very good mean reversal index. The growth of 500 companies and the demands of the long term investment industry might be beaten for a short while by a bit of bad news but ultimately the growth and investment wins the day. Never short the SP500!
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