Breakout Strategy for the Dax and Dow Open – Trader Tom

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  • #181359 quote
    robertogozzirobertogozzi
    Moderator
    Legend

    Yes, phoentzs is right, you should use a Trailing Stop code snippet,you can search this forum or the Snippet Library.

    #181365 quote
    VinzentVegaVinzentVega
    Participant
    Veteran

    Hi, murre87 I thought I would write you a tweaked BOT, modified around stop and entry to improve with a little 5 min direction to help!

    Anyone feel free to use or improve, I am going to post this to the library

    My results are a little bit diffrent. The spread in that program is wrong. Spread is 1.2 (for german user). But also with 1p spread, the results are diffrent.

    Unbenannt.png Unbenannt.png
    #181380 quote
    smpsmp
    Participant
    Average

    Thanks for the feedback, guys.  I reviewed and adjusted the code to include a 1.2 spread (Thanks, VinzentVega for the reminder), so don’t add more spread when testing!

    I have reduced the losses, improved the risk management.

    Again tested on V10.3 using 100,000 units

    Test pic of tick by tick on and off

     

    //Early Bird Breakout Strategy v1.0, updated with active risk code v1.2
    //November 10th 2021
    //www.harkoltd.com
    
    //==========================================================
    // Definition of code parameters
    DEFPARAM CumulateOrders = False // Cumulating positions deactivated
    // Cancel all pending orders and close all positions at the "FLATAFTER" time
    DEFPARAM FLATAFTER = 120000
    // Prevents the system from placing new orders to enter the market or increase position size after the specified time
    noEntryAfterTime = 110000
    timeEnterAfter = time < noEntryAfterTime
    //==========================================================
    // Prevents the system from placing new orders on specified days of the week
    daysForbiddenEntry = OpenDayOfWeek = 6 OR OpenDayOfWeek = 0
    //==========================================================
    //Stake limited to 1.0% bank risk and topping at 1.7% return using active risk management code. Bank Risk Stop =1% and Target >2% (based on £10k account)
    Stake=16
    Spread=1.2
    maxstop=6
    Takeprofit=15
    //==========================================================
    //Limit to one trade
    Trade = Barindex - TradeIndex(1) > IntradayBarIndex
    //==========================================================
    //Trading spread, entry of half spread
    If Spread = 1.2 THEN
    SpreadEntry = 0.6
    ELSE
    SpreadEntry = Spread
    ENDIF
    //==========================================================
    //Active Risk management rules (To help the longs, shorts when wrong go straigh stop)
    BreakevenAt =6
    takeprofit =12
    startBreakeven = takeprofit *(BreakevenAt/80)
    PointsToKeep =4
    IF NOT ONMARKET THEN
    breakevenLevel=0
    ENDIF
    IF ONMARKET AND close-tradeprice(1)>=startBreakeven THEN
    breakevenLevel = tradeprice(1)+PointsToKeep*pipsize
    ENDIF
    IF breakevenLevel>0.5 THEN
    SELL AT breakevenLevel STOP
    ENDIF
    //==========================================================
    //Leading breakout direction
    Timeframe (5 MINUTE)
    EMA1 = ExponentialAverage[22](close)
    EMA2 = ExponentialAverage[3](close)
    IF EMA1 > EMA2 AND EMA1 > EMA1[1] AND EMA2 > EMA2[1] THEN
    LongNotShort = 1
    ENDIF
    IF EMA1 < EMA2 AND EMA1 < EMA1[1] AND EMA2 < EMA2[1] THEN
    LongNotShort = 0
    ENDIF
    IF abs(EMA1 - EMA2) < 1 THEN
    LongNotShort = 0.5
    ENDIF
    //==========================================================
    //Entry timeframe
    Timeframe (1 minute)
    OpenUK = 080000
    Start = time >=OpenUK
    if openTime = 070000 then
    myHighest = high
    myLowest = low
    endif
    if openTime >= 070000 and openTime <=075955 then
    myHighest = max (myHighest,high)
    myLowest = min (myLowest,low)
    endif
    //==========================================================
    If Start and Trade and timeEnterAfter and not daysForbiddenEntry then
    
    // Conditions to enter long positions (0.5pt break)
    IF LongNotShort = 1 THEN
    BuyPrice = myHighest + SpreadEntry + 0.6
    BUY stake PERPOINT AT BuyPrice stop
    ENDIF
    // Conditions to enter short positions
    IF LongNotShort = 0 THEN
    SellPrice = myLowest - SpreadEntry - 0.6
    SELLSHORT stake PERPOINT AT SellPrice stop
    ENDIF
    
    SET STOP LOSS Maxstop
    SET TARGET pPROFIT TakeProfit
    endif
    
    DAX-EB-open.png DAX-EB-open.png DAX-EB-tick-by-tick.png DAX-EB-tick-by-tick.png Early-Bird-DAX-V1.2.itf
    #181386 quote
    nonethelessnonetheless
    Participant
    Master

    1m bar backtest, stake = 1 (for easier comparison to other algos)

    TBT, no additional spread

    VinzentVega thanked this post
    Early-Bird-DAX-V1.2.jpg Early-Bird-DAX-V1.2.jpg
    #181393 quote
    phoentzsphoentzs
    Participant
    Master

    € 1 per trade profit on average?

    #181396 quote
    smpsmp
    Participant
    Average

    I don’t see that as relevant at all.  Risk and therefore should be based on the bank size and not on pip size.  My bench for testing is £10k bank size and my base risk is 1% of the bank.

    The 1% is a constant.

    Pip size is not

    #181397 quote
    VinzentVegaVinzentVega
    Participant
    Veteran

    It also looks good in 2m

    Unbenannt-1.png Unbenannt-1.png
    #181399 quote
    VinzentVegaVinzentVega
    Participant
    Veteran

    I don’t see that as relevant at all. Risk and therefore should be based on the bank size and not on pip size. My bench for testing is £10k bank size and my base risk is 1% of the bank. The 1% is a constant.

    Yes, but for backtesting and for the comparability its allays better to use 1 pip/point.  I can immediately see how many points the setup is generating, and don´t have to convert. Its more usefull for all viewers

    #181401 quote
    phoentzsphoentzs
    Participant
    Master

    I meant something else. You invest 10 € and with a 50% hit rate you get 11 € … so one euro profit per trade. that’s not much when you consider that this is a back test and the slippage is on top of that.

    #181403 quote
    smpsmp
    Participant
    Average

    That’s not what the back says.  Plus your hypothesis is flawed, sorry.  It’s all-around risk management and ROI.

    The correct backtesting identifies over a 69% hit rate with a return of over 1:1.7

    If I gave someone £1 and they gave me back £2.7 I would take that all day (don’t forget the £1 you risk you don’t spend

    The strategy is from someone else, it did not work and so I wrote a programme to deliver one that would work and based on the loose requirement – let’s not forget this.

    Personally, my BOTs deliver… worst case 20% *12 trades per year (88% win rate) to high frequently BOTs delivering 45% per year.  Mixing these bots (over 12 active BOTs these do very nicely)

    This early bird bot potentially trades  144 per year (roughly) with a potential outturn of 80%+  On a £10k account that’s £8k or  £55 per trade!  No matter what you are doing

    Can you trade manually, and consistently with these ratios, most cannot!

    #181404 quote
    smpsmp
    Participant
    Average

    VinzentVega 2 minutes does look good 👍🏻

    I never looked at that time frame

    #181407 quote
    smpsmp
    Participant
    Average

    2 mins, interesting.  Can you post your code as MTF does not support 2 mins

    It would be interesting to see what you have done?

    #181409 quote
    VinzentVegaVinzentVega
    Participant
    Veteran

    2 mins, interesting. Can you post your code as MTF does not support 2 mins

    It would be interesting to see what you have done?

    Pls find attached the file.

    Early-Bird-DAX-V1.3.itf
    #181413 quote
    smpsmp
    Participant
    Average

    Thanks for the file.  The strategy actually loses money!

    Also, it’s a completely different strategy!  The strategy is a break put of 8:00, not 9 am!  We are discussing the 8:00 breakout using the 7am to 8am timeframe, and not the 8am to 9am as you have!  I thought something was wrong.! Thanks for sharing anyway.

    I wrote a 9am breakout also like yours and has 100% trading record at 5 trades per 3-month cycle, happy to stick with this

    Thanks for sharing though

    #181414 quote
    EricEric
    Participant
    Master

    For those that are not afraid of slippage, take a look at Hang Seng at the open

    Did some breakouts testing on that beast, but gave it up

    Too brutal for me

    Midlanddave thanked this post
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Breakout Strategy for the Dax and Dow Open – Trader Tom


ProOrder: Automated Strategies & Backtesting

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murre87 @murre87 Participant
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This topic contains 53 replies,
has 12 voices, and was last updated by GraHalGraHal
4 years, 10 months ago.

Topic Details
Forum: ProOrder: Automated Strategies & Backtesting
Language: English
Started: 11/09/2021
Status: Active
Attachments: 18 files
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