Profitable strategy that work on any market

Viewing 15 posts - 31 through 45 (of 76 total)
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  • #42343 quote
    Henrik
    Participant
    Veteran

    @juanj, no I forgot to du that. But now i tried to change but I dont get the same results. Here is 200k from 8 to 19 utc+1.

    Screenshot_12.png Screenshot_12.png
    #42371 quote
    juanj
    Participant
    Master

    @Henrik and @Nicolas I have spent some time ‘optimizing’ Entry and Exit criteria, possibly to the extent where it is ‘over’ optimized (too many OR’s). I will over the comming days refine the criteria adding and removing them as I test between different markets trying to find what tend to work more universally. For now the attached is the latest version, also attached my latest results on EUR/USD. @Hendrik if you backtest on 200k bars just re-optimize the trading time filter using the backtest engine.

    Bollinger-Breakout-Reversal-1.itf EURUSD-3.jpg EURUSD-3.jpg
    #42388 quote
    Henrik
    Participant
    Veteran

    Here it is over 200k. Put it optimizing  overnight. Feels like stopped somewhere but you see which time parameters used.

    A=starttime

    S=endtime

    D=exit

     

    Regards

     

    Henrik

    Nicolas thanked this post
    Screenshot_13.png Screenshot_13.png
    #42390 quote
    juanj
    Participant
    Master

    @Hendrik, thankyou for that I am glad to see it is performing well going back that far. Looking really positive!

    I would say according to your optimization Start: 9 and End: 19 is the sweet spot here, good 10 hours of exposure and the highest win %.

    The Exit time is not really too important here as it is simply meant to close the positions Friday night (just before the weekend).

    #42406 quote
    juanj
    Participant
    Master

    I have developed a new ‘universal’ strategy developed on many of the same principles as the other one using a Keltner band to supplement the Bollinger band and trading mean reversion.

    It is not meant to replace the previous strategy but rather to supplement it.

    I have also not tested this strategy on as many markets as my other one however it performs relatively fair across markets as far as I could see so far. Attached is the .ITF file along with the results on Gold (attached screenshot compares the 2 strategies result on Gold). @Henrik if you want you can maybe test the strategy on 200k bars optimizing the timeframe accordingly (just Start Time and End Time)?


    @Nicolas
    if you prefer we can add this strategy as a separate entry to the library?

    BollingerKeltner.itf BollingerKeltner-Gold.jpg BollingerKeltner-Gold.jpg
    #42411 quote
    Nicolas
    Keymaster
    Master

    @juanj

    I think we could make multiple posts but with different approach, because it seems to evolve each day a bit more 🙂 People may also “fork” this code and upload them here. So I feel like we could wait for things to be a bit more ‘advanced’ or ‘completed’. In any case, thanks for the job done and for sharing! 😉 Please note that I’ll be on leave by tomorrow, not be able to be as present on forums/admin and moderations as usual.

    #42414 quote
    juanj
    Participant
    Master

    @nicolas enjoy your leave! When will you be back in full swing?

    #42440 quote
    Henrik
    Participant
    Veteran

    Hi!

    Here is BollingerKeltner.itf with 200k and time opti.

    Regards

    Henrik

    Screenshot_14.png Screenshot_14.png
    #42442 quote
    Inertia
    Participant
    Master

    Bonnes vacances Nicolas !!

    #42463 quote
    juanj
    Participant
    Master

    @Hendrik thank you for that. What do you say we try a few more markets? Oil as well as some of the other big markets? FTSE, DAX, etc.

    #42570 quote
    juanj
    Participant
    Master

    I have modified my latest version to include heuristics to automatically optimize the period used to calculate the Bollinger and Keltner Bands. I have also opened a new topic (containing the heuristics algorithm used).

    Machine Learning in ProOrder ProRealTime

    #42629 quote
    Marcel van Vliet
    Participant
    Veteran

    The sequence make no sense to me. I compared it with the mathematical sequences I could find, did some calculations in Excel and also visit a mathematical forum for more info. The only thing I could confirm is the number 42 from @juanj that seems to be the median of the sequence.

    #42636 quote
    juanj
    Participant
    Master

    @Marcel thank you for your comment, I appreciate you looking into it. You are correct in that the sequence doesn’t make sense, however it does achieve its purpose. Maybe you can assist with a more logical algorithm? What I am trying to achieve is something like this;

    Starting Variable (Median)

    Starting Variable + (increment)

    Starting Variable –  (increment)

    Starting Variable + (increment*2)

    Starting Variable – (increment*2)

    Starting Variable + (increment*3)

    Starting Variable – (increment*3

    Etc.

    However in typing this I now think I know how to do it.

    #42640 quote
    juanj
    Participant
    Master
    //Heuristics Algorithm
    
    Increment = 1
    once IncPos = 1 //Increment Position
    once Optimize = 0
    once Mode = 1 //Switches between + and - increments
    once StratAvgB = 0
    once Periods = 42 //Starting eriod of variable to optimize
    
    If Optimize = 10 Then //'optimize = optimize + 1' set at position entry/exit
    WinLoss = 0
    StratAvgA = StratAvgB
    StratAvgB = 0
    For i = 1 to 10 Do
    If positionperf(i) > 0 Then
    WinLoss  = WinLoss + 1
    EndIF
    StratAvgB = StratAvgB + StrategyProfit[i]
    Next
    StratAvgB = StratAvgB/10
    If (Winloss < 5 or StratAvgA > StratAvgB) and Mode = 1 Then
    Periods = Periods + (Increment*IncPos)
    ElsIf (Winloss < 5 or StratAvgA > StratAvgB) and Mode = 2 Then
    Periods = Periods - (Increment*IncPos)
    mode = 1
    If IncPos > 6 Then //Max Increment Value
    Periods = 42 //Starting Vaue is Reset
    IncPos = 1 //Increment Position is Reset
    Else
    IncPos = IncPos + 1
    EndIF
    EndIF
    mode = 2
    Optimize = 0
    EndIf
    #42651 quote
    volpiemanuele
    Participant
    Veteran

    @ Juani

    I’m still working to the strategy based on Ichimoku and hosoda cycle. If you are interested we can develop togheter a specific strategy.

    Thanks

    Emanuele

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Profitable strategy that work on any market


General Trading: Market Analysis & Manual Trading

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juanj @juanj Participant
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This topic contains 75 replies,
has 3 voices, and was last updated by Alby118
1 year ago.

Topic Details
Forum: General Trading: Market Analysis & Manual Trading
Language: English
Started: 07/24/2017
Status: Active
Attachments: 17 files
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