CFD Costs are killing me.. is it better with real futures contracts?

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  • #258613 quote
    jebus89
    Participant
    Master

    i cant seem to algotrade on any of the MES or ES or any other instrument i try? What am i doing wrong here? Something wrong with my account or whats the deal..

    cantrtreade.png cantrtreade.png
    #258616 quote
    jebus89
    Participant
    Master

    Okay i was approved for PRT to trade futures but not in IBKR, i am now approved but still same error pops up but im guessing its going to take a day or smthn before the data has been updated with prorealtime.. lets see if im able to do hit “start trading” tomorrow haha…


    i have now optimized my algo for futuresmarked, had to readjust some of my variables, i dont like doing it because the “OG” code has been running for many years now on CFD, but ive changed the variables just slightly and its now looking pretty decent for futures marked also


    Thats the Before (light blue) and after (dark blue)



    Fingers crossed i havnt completly overfit and facked myself going forward ……

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    #258642 quote
    dipont
    Participant
    New

    It seems like a buy-and-hold strategy… it’s not suitable for CFDs or futures at all. What you need is monthly investments in QQQ or SPY.

    #258652 quote
    jebus89
    Participant
    Master

    Its not buy and hold and it beats buy and hold by far when comparing max drawdown vs profits.. Not sure how even looking at the graph you can say “Its buy and hold”


    Its around 50% winrate and 2.2 in profit/loss ratio for 1h US500

    #258666 quote
    Snålänningen
    Participant
    Junior


    jebus89 wrote: Its not buy and hold and it beats buy and hold by far when comparing max drawdown vs profits.. Not sure how even looking at the graph you can say “Its buy and hold” Its around 50% winrate and 2.2 in profit/loss ratio for 1h US500

    Whats the time in market?

    #259022 quote
    jebus89
    Participant
    Master

    60% in market

    picture is 2 contract vs buy and hold.

    max drawdown 2 contracts: 1700$~

    max drawdown buy n hold: 1300$~

    outperforms buy n hold by 3x with a minimal increase in max $ drawdown

    however that is without any cost calculated, and with 3 days AVERAGE holding time this strategy dosnt look that good comparing real life vs backtest. which is why i think comission and spread in futures will reduce cost by ALOT.. no funding cost here is gonna be nice

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    #259024 quote
    LucasBest
    Participant
    Average

    When you compare your Algo with buy and hold, you have to do it with the same number of contracts… Otherwise, you can apply your algo with 20 contracts and say my algo outperforms buy n hold by 30x

    #259108 quote
    jebus89
    Participant
    Master


    LucasBest wrote: When you compare your Algo with buy and hold, you have to do it with the same number of contracts… Otherwise, you can apply your algo with 20 contracts and say my algo outperforms buy n hold by 30x

    i compare my algo against by and hold adjusted by risk. You can take my numbers and divide by 2 if u wanna calculate my algo vs buy and hold, so my max drawdown would then be 850 vs 1300 max drawdown for buy and hold, and my algo would still outperform buy and hold.

    #259145 quote
    jebus89
    Participant
    Master

    Just wanted to add on my thought here on how i look at buy n hold compared to my algo. Lets in theory say you got a really nice strat. Lets just say it has 80% winrate and 1.5 gain/loss ratio, however it dosnt do too many trades so if you compare 1 contract with 1 contract buy n hold, it dosnt outperform the market, however buy n hold sees a max drawdown of -50% or say -5000 points (out of 10.000 wallet to start with) but your algo sees max drawdown og -10% or say -1000 (our of same 10.000 wallet to start with) it would be wrong in my eyes to say that your algo does not outperform the market, because if you can sit through a -50%/-5000 drawdown, then in my eyes you should up the contracts of your algo to match that same max drawdown of -5000, meaning your algo can have 5 contracts and would probably by then outperform buy and hold.


    If this is flawed then let me know, until then ignorance is bliss i guess haha but thats my view on comparing algo with buy and hold.


    BUT would also like to say that this is not on topic of this thread anyways hehe

    #259196 quote
    justisan
    Participant
    Average

    thinking quickly I don’t see any flaw in how jebus thinks/compares. I have many more issues or rather a question, why one would compare trading results with any index at all. that comparison of somebody’s activity vs “buy&hold” is very widely spread, and still it makes to me very little sense. I think the idea came in very deep past from trying to compare personal “stock picking” (still in terms of “investing”, not short term trading) vs simply buying the underlying equity index. and maybe in that sense it somehow makes sense. but for me that totally loses sense if one is processing hundreds of trades per year or even per month, on various strategies – and even if it is on just one index. what if one trades several instruments, and not only equity indices? against what to compare then the total activity? and then how does it make sense? what for to compare?

    anyway, lucky those who are in a position to compare something at all.

    wishing everybody nice weekend!

    j.

    #259197 quote
    turame
    Participant
    Master

    IG or IB, that is the question ? In other words CFD or futurs ?

    It depends on how you trade :


    -> If you are a day trader, you only pay the spread, no commission on CFD. So it’s better to go with IG because IG has a lower spread than IB on average (see my file below I made 2 years ago). When i am talking about spread, I include the fixed fees per contract.


    -> If you’re a swing trader, it’s better to go with IB, because there are no overnight or weekend commission fees.


    To put it simply, the more you build buy and hold strategies, the better it is to go with IB. Otherwise, IG is cheaper.

    This opinion is solely my own.

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    #259291 quote
    GraHal
    Participant
    Master


    jebus89 wrote: no funding cost here is gonna be nice

    This keeps coming into my mind … if you are trading Futures on Margin (i.e. leveraged) how come IBKR loan you the margin (that is not covered in your Account) for ‘free’ on overnight positions?

    #259292 quote
    GraHal
    Participant
    Master

    The link below is background info re my question above

    Overnight Position Fee | Interactive Brokers U.K. Limited

    #259300 quote
    JS
    Participant
    Veteran

    The link applies only to UK clients (IBKR UK)…

    For EU clients (IBKR Ireland), different rates apply, and they are only subject to commissions and margin requirements…

    #259303 quote
    GraHal
    Participant
    Master

    JS wrote: they are only subject to commissions and margin requirements


    Here is the link for EU Clients showing overnight fees (depends if meeting margin, 2x margin etc) ?

    Commissions Futures Europe | Interactive Brokers LLC

    Are you referring to overnight fees when you say ‘margin requirements’?

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CFD Costs are killing me.. is it better with real futures contracts?


General Trading: Market Analysis & Manual Trading

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jebus89 @jebus89 Participant
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This topic contains 89 replies,
has 11 voices, and was last updated by GraHal
2 days, 16 hours ago.

Topic Details
Forum: General Trading: Market Analysis & Manual Trading
Language: English
Started: 01/29/2026
Status: Active
Attachments: 31 files
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