Fractal breakout intraday Strategy EUR/USD 1H –

Viewing 15 posts - 331 through 345 (of 360 total)
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  • #70860 quote
    CN
    Participant
    Senior

    What might the reason be for the sudden loss in momentum?

    #70861 quote
    Vonasi
    Moderator
    Master

    What might the reason be for the sudden loss in momentum?

    At a guess the take profit and stop loss levels just happen to fit the period that it was developed on better than the period since then. This is always a problem with TP and SL levels they are very easy to curve fit to past data. The general theory of the strategy is good but the difference between profits and loss will always come down to how the market is currently moving in relation to these TP and SL fixed levels.

    #70925 quote
    Nicolas
    Keymaster
    Master

    IMO, this is a great strategy with nice potential, OOS speaks for itself.

    #70927 quote
    CN
    Participant
    Senior

    IMO, this is a great strategy with nice potential, OOS speaks for itself

    The

    IMO, this is a great strategy with nice potential, OOS speaks for itself.

    The 30min strategy on 1h or the latest 1h on 1h?

    #70942 quote
    Vonasi
    Moderator
    Master

    IMO, this is a great strategy with nice potential, OOS speaks for itself.

    I don’t disagree – I just think it is difficult to get excited about the OOS 18.2 pips profit over six trades in one year and 90% of that profit came from just two trades. The lack of any losing trades is exciting though.

    It will be interesting to see how this one continues with further real life forward testing.

    #85020 quote
    GraHal
    Participant
    Master

    Can anybody see why I am getting the Rejects for the reason shown (red arrow) on the code below please?

    Why is the code trying to take a limit position at a price that is clearly not obtainable (blue arrow)?

    And then – in the same second, 100012 code tried to take a stop position at a realistic price as expected ( black arrow).

    Version below may include changes I have made.

    Hope that makes sense?

    Thank You in Advance

    //-------------------------------------------------------------------------
    // Main code : ! Fractal BOut EURUSD 1H RonGH
    //-------------------------------------------------------------------------
    //-------------------------------------------------------------------------
    // Main code : ! Fractal BOut EURUSD 1H RonGH
    //-------------------------------------------------------------------------
    //-------------------------------------------------------------------------
    // Main code : ! Fractal BOut EURUSD 1H RonGH
    //-------------------------------------------------------------------------
    //-------------------------------------------------------------------------
    // Main code : ! Fractal BOut EURUSD 1H RonGH
    //-------------------------------------------------------------------------
    //https://www.prorealcode.com/topic/fractal-breakout-intraday-strategy-eurusd-1h/page/20/
    //Ronny #48560
    //EURUSD(DFB) - IG MARKET
    // TIME FRAME 1H
    // PROBACKTEST TICK by TICK
    // SPREAD 0.9 PIP
    // ALE - KASPER - VONASI
     
    DEFPARAM CumulateOrders = false
     
    CP = 101 //Fractal Period
    RSINum = 2
    Ave = 7 //AverageTrueRange Period
    TGLMult = 0.6 //ATR multipier for TGL
    STPMult = 1.8 //ATR multiplier for StopLoss
    AddOn = 1.1 //Added to STPMult for TakeProfit
    RSIHighLevel = 80
     
    RSILowLevel = 100 - RSIHighLevel
     
    //KASPER CODE OF REINVESTMENT
    Reinvest=0 //change
    if reinvest then
    Capital = 5000
    Risk = 1//0.1//in % pr position
    StopLoss = AverageTrueRange[Ave] * STPMult
    TakeProfit = AverageTrueRange[Ave] * STPMult + AddOn
     
    REM Calculate contracts
    equity = Capital + StrategyProfit
    maxrisk = (equity*(Risk/100))
    MAXpositionsize=Capital
    MINpositionsize=1
    Positionsize= MAX(MINpositionsize,MIN(MAXpositionsize,abs(((maxrisk/StopLoss)))))
    else
    Positionsize=2
    TakeProfit = 40 //change
    StopLoss = 50   //change
    Endif
     
    ///BILL WILLIAM FRACTAL INDICATOR
    if Close[cp] >= highest[2*cp+1](Close) then
    LH = 1
    else
    LH = 0
    endif
    if Close[cp] <= lowest[2*cp+1](Close)  then
    LL = -1
    else
    LL = 0
    endif
    if LH = 1 then
    HIL = Close[cp]
    endif
    if LL = -1 then
    LOL = Close[cp]
    endif
     
    //CumulativeRSI2
    RSI2 = (SUMMATION[RSINum](RSI[RSINum](Close)))/RSINum
    RSILow = RSI2 < RSILowLevel
    RSIHigh = RSI2 > RSIHighLevel
     
    //LONG and SHORT CONDITIONS
    if (time >=100000 and time < 230000) then
    C1 = (close CROSSES OVER HIL)
    D1 = (close CROSSES UNDER LOL)
     
    IF c1 and NOT ShortOnMarket and RSIHigh THEN
    PositionMultiple = (RSI2/100) + 1//Increase PositionSize depending on CumRSI2 level
    PositionSize = (PositionSize/((RSIHighLevel/100)+1)) * PositionMultiple
    PositionSize = Round(PositionSize * 100)
    PositionSize = PositionSize / 100
    BUY positionsize CONTRACT AT MARKET
    ENDIF
     
    IF D1 and NOT LongOnMarket and RSILow THEN
    PositionMultiple = ((100-RSI2)/100) + 1//Increase PositionSize depending on CumRSI2 level
    PositionSize = (PositionSize/((RSIHighLevel/100)+1)) * PositionMultiple
    PositionSize = Round(PositionSize * 100)
    PositionSize = PositionSize / 100
    SELLSHORT positionsize CONTRACT AT MARKET
    ENDIF
    ENDIF
     
    //TRAILING STOP
    TGL = AverageTrueRange[Ave] * TGLMult
    TGS = TGL
    if not onmarket then
    MAXPRICE = 0
    MINPRICE = close
    PriceExit = 0
    ENDIF
    if longonmarket then
    MAXPRICE = MAX(MAXPRICE,close)
    if MAXPRICE-tradeprice(1)>=TGL*pointsize then
    PriceExit = MAXPRICE-TGL*pointsize
    ENDIF
    ENDIF
    if shortonmarket then
    MINPRICE = MIN(MINPRICE,close)
    if tradeprice(1)-MINPRICE>=TGS*pointsize then
    PriceExit = MINPRICE+TGS*pointsize
    ENDIF
    ENDIF
    if onmarket and PriceExit>0 then
    EXITSHORT AT PriceExit STOP
    SELL AT PriceExit STOP
    ENDIF
     
    set target profit TakeProfit
    set stop ploss stoploss
    #85023 quote
    Nicolas
    Keymaster
    Master

    Related to limited risk account I guess. Stoploss can’t be too far related to the margin required..

    #85024 quote
    GraHal
    Participant
    Master

    Stoploss can’t be too far related to the margin required..

    This is why I am confused … isn’t the StopLoss = 50 at Line 50 and used in Line 124 (set stop ploss stoploss)?

    Also it is Limit Orders (not Stops) that are being rejected as being too far from price.

    #85026 quote
    Francesco78
    Participant
    Master

    You need to add a p

    set target pprofit TakeProfit\
    set stop ploss stoploss
    #85027 quote
    robertogozzi
    Moderator
    Master

    @GraHal TGL is 0, because it’s a price and does not need to be converted using POINTSIZE. Replace those lines with:

    if longonmarket then
       MAXPRICE = MAX(MAXPRICE,close)
       if MAXPRICE-tradeprice(1)>=TGL then//*pointsize then
          PriceExit = MAXPRICE-TGL//*pointsize
       ENDIF
    ENDIF
    if shortonmarket then
       MINPRICE = MIN(MINPRICE,close)
       if tradeprice(1)-MINPRICE>=TGS then//*pointsize then
          PriceExit = MINPRICE+TGS//*pointsize
       ENDIF
    ENDIF

    This will affect performance a bit.

    #85040 quote
    robertogozzi
    Moderator
    Master

    You don’t need to add  a P, since those values are differences in price, not in Pips,

    #85054 quote
    pippo999
    Participant
    Junior

    Hello Guys, how can I find the last updated code from Ale? There are a lot of posts… Grazie / Thanks Giuseppe

    #85056 quote
    Nicolas
    Keymaster
    Master

    You don’t need to add  a P, since those values are differences in price, not in Pips,

    You are right, but it doesn’t matter if the instrument has a pipsize = 1, and this is the case for DAX.

    #85059 quote
    robertogozzi
    Moderator
    Master

    Nicolas, this is EurUsd, not DAX.

    Indeed lines 49-50 should have * POINTSIZE before the comment, so their values match lines 38-39 which are in price (probably Francesco78 referred to lines 49-50). So GraHal will have to choose one of the two ways and use PROFIT/LOSS with/without P accordingly.

    #85065 quote
    GraHal
    Participant
    Master

    Thanks guys

    hahahah I’ve tried 4 combinations of your suggestions and results just get better and better! 🙂

    Now to start thinking what is really happening and interpreting your suggestions?

    Results seem too good to be true?

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Fractal breakout intraday Strategy EUR/USD 1H –


ProOrder: Automated Strategies & Backtesting

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ALE @aleale Moderator
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This topic contains 359 replies,
has 1 voice, and was last updated by RandyG
2 years, 6 months ago.

Topic Details
Forum: ProOrder: Automated Strategies & Backtesting
Language: English
Started: 04/16/2017
Status: Active
Attachments: 174 files
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