State Space

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  • #7476 quote
    simon_json
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    The objective of this thread is to discuss trading system State Space.
    I found it in Renato Di Lorenzo’s book: Trading Systems – Theory and Immediate Practice.
    I have mailed Renato Di Lorenzo and its ok to discuss it public here.
    I don’t think Renato Di Lorenzo is the author of the system.

    The system is made for daily timeframe. Because PRTs lack of “look inside bar” its not possible to test and optimize Stop loss, Take profit and Trailing stop.
    Therefore the first goal is to get the system to work as well on 5min timeframe as on daily timeframe.

    Please use all systems here carefully. I have not used them live yet.

    I attach post the original system here, and a modification I have made which only open 1 order at a time.
    The system do need to be optimized from time to time.

    !!! Please use all systems here carefully. I have not used them live yet !!!

    State-space.itf State-Space-only-1-order.itf
    #7481 quote
    simon_json
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    @Nicolas could you please help to get the system to work as well on 5min timeframe as on daily timeframe?
    I have tried a few things but cant get it right.

    #7483 quote
    simon_json
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    Second goal would be to find out a good exit strategy and money management which take down risk.

    #7484 quote
    simon_json
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    Third goal would be to combine this system with the grind system discussed here:

    Grid orders with one combined stop loss and limit, can it be done?

    State space could then maybe be used as an entry point.
    I have tried some combinations which I will attach here.
    My favorite combinations so far is the attached. Next post will contain combinations with BB exit.

    State-Space-only-1-order-1.itf State-Space-cumulate-orders.itf State-space-ss-grind-BB.itf State-space-ss-grind-bb.itf
    #7490 quote
    simon_json
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    Next two combinations contain the BB exit from the grind system.
    I think here that the triggered floating stop loss and spread eats up to much profit.

    State-space-ss-grind-BB-1.itf State-Space-cumu-order-bb.itf
    #7495 quote
    simon_json
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    #7501 quote
    simon_json
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    Here is some pictures which may help 2/2
    Here we can se how profit is eaten up.

    one-bb-system.png one-bb-system.png cumulate-orders-bb.png cumulate-orders-bb.png
    #7505 quote
    simon_json
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    Seems like the forum changes names on the .itf files when I upload, I don’t know why?

    #7513 quote
    Adolfo
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    Great Job Simon!

    Very interesting!! It will take a bit to test it for me at the moment but I’ll be glad to ear news about it.

    Cheers

    simon_json thanked this post
    #7588 quote
    Brage
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    Hi Simon!

    Interesting, especially if it can be combined with the grid order code to a complete strategy.

    Thanks for sharing:)

    simon_json thanked this post
    #8318 quote
    simon_json
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    @Nicolas

    Could you please see if its possibile to get the system to work as well on 5min timeframe as on daily timeframe?
    I have tried a few things but cant get it right.

    Thanks! All the best!
    Simon

    State-Space-only-1-order-2.itf
    #8325 quote
    Nicolas
    Keymaster
    Master

    Hi Simon, sorry I totally missed this topic. Great job 👌
    I’ll do my best to help you this week hopefully.
    In the meantime, 5 minutes timeframe is full of noise and a lot of strategies can’t be adapted easily because of that. Anyway I’ll have a look. Got some bugs fixes to be done for the site and improvements as well this week, so I’ll do my best. 😉

    simon_json thanked this post
    #8337 quote
    grizzly
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    Nice work Simon

    simon_json thanked this post
    #8354 quote
    Nicolas
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    Hi Simon, I looked at the code but I can’t understand the strategy. Could you please explain a bit how trading decisions are made accordingly to it? Because actually variables are only set by your optimization range values, they are not set by anything else 🙂

    in the last code here: http://www.prorealcode.com/topic/state-space/#post-8318

    #8399 quote
    simon_json
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    Hi Nicolas! Thanks!

    The system is described here:
    http://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-88-470-2706-0_33
    And look inside.

    I don’t know so much about the system, or understand it so well 🙂 I just know that it performs good in backtest, and now when I test it on demo-account (only about one month, I have tested it on OMX30 (almost like DAX)).
    I’m a bit impressed with te system.
    It need to be optimized now and then, my suggestion would be once a year, or every third month, or every single month. I don’t know so much about the system yet.
    But I actually likes the fact that it needs to be optimized from now and then, cause I think that the market changes over time and and that a system needs to be adaptable. I don’t see it as curvefitting, especially when many results in optimizing gives good results. But I’m not sure 🙂

    I would like to be able to run it on smaller timeframes just to be able to optimize SL (because lack of look inside bar), and see what works best.
    All the best!

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State Space


ProOrder: Automated Strategies & Backtesting

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simon_json @simon_json Participant
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This topic contains 17 replies,
has 5 voices, and was last updated by Nicolas
9 years, 8 months ago.

Topic Details
Forum: ProOrder: Automated Strategies & Backtesting
Language: English
Started: 05/20/2016
Status: Active
Attachments: No files
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