liquidity at the opening of DAX

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  • #231018 quote
    juld63
    Participant
    New

    Hi everyone,

    Does anyone have an idea of the liquidity of the futures DAX at the opening of any day? How many, for example, would I be able to buy 25€ CFDs with a slippage inferior to 2 points?

    Any insight appreciated. Thanks!

    #260081 quote
    Nicolas
    Keymaster
    Legend

    This is a trading/market microstructure question rather than a ProRealTime coding question, so the honest answer is that there is no definitive number anyone can give you with confidence, but here is what is known from practical experience and market structure.

    On the DAX futures liquidity at the open, the FDAX (the big DAX future on Eurex) is one of the most liquid equity index futures in the world. At the cash open (09:00 CET), liquidity is actually very strong because that is when the bulk of European institutional order flow hits the market. The order book depth at the bid and ask is typically in the hundreds of contracts within 1-2 ticks of mid. The mini DAX (FDXM, which is the one most commonly used for CFD-like sizing) is also very actively traded at the open.

    On your specific question of 25 CFD contracts at less than 2 points slippage, a few practical points:

    • 25 CFDs at 25€ per point is a notional of roughly 25 x current DAX level x 1€ per point per CFD, which is a relatively modest size. At a DAX level around 18,000, that is 450,000€ notional. This is well within the normal bid/ask depth at the open and 2 points of slippage is a very generous tolerance for that size. You would realistically expect less than 1 point of slippage on a plain market order at that size during the open.
    • The caveat is the very first seconds of the open (09:00:00 to 09:00:05 CET). The auction mechanism resolves and the first few ticks can have a wider spread temporarily. If your strategy fires in that exact window, slippage can be higher than during normal continuous trading. After the first few seconds, the book refills quickly and you are back to tight markets.
    • If you are trading CFDs through a retail broker (IG, Saxo, etc.) rather than directly on Eurex, your slippage is also a function of how your broker internalises or hedges the flow, not just the underlying futures market depth. Some brokers add their own spread on top of the underlying market spread, which is worth checking in their execution policy.
    • The best empirical approach is to run a few test market orders of your intended size at your intended time of day and log the fill prices versus the mid at order submission. No simulation or forum answer will beat your own real execution data with your specific broker.

    Bottom line: for 25 CFDs at 25€, staying under 2 points of slippage at the DAX open is very realistic and achievable in normal market conditions. The main risks are flash moves in the first seconds of the open and any broker-specific spread overlay on top of the underlying futures market.

    #260103 quote
    PeterSt
    Participant
    Master

    A fixed number cannot be given from public data alone. On Eurex, DAX futures continuous trading starts at 02:10 CET, so “the opening” is already ambiguous, and the exact answer depends on the order book at that moment. Eurex’s own full visible futures order book is a premium data product, which is why there is no reliable public one-number answer for every open. (Deutsche Börse Group)

    For sizing: the full DAX future (FDAX) is €25 per index point, the Mini-DAX (FDXM) is €5 per point, and the Micro-DAX (FDXS) is €1 per point. So if “€25 CFD” means €25-per-point exposure, that is the same point value as 1 FDAX future. (Deutsche Börse Group)

    As a concrete current book example, the front-month Mini-DAX ask side showed 2 contracts at 24,151, then 3 at 24,152, then 5 at 24,153. That means a buy order with slippage strictly less than 2 points could take 5 FDXM contracts; if you allow exactly 2 points, it could take 10 FDXM contracts. Since 5 FDXM = 1 FDAX-equivalent, that is roughly 1 × €25/point unit with slippage under 2 points, or 2 units if 2.0 points is still acceptable. (Deutsche Börse Group)

    That is only a snapshot, not a daily guarantee. The product itself is liquid: in January 2026, FDAX traded 613,625 contracts in 29,220 trades, about 21 contracts per trade on average, and Mini-DAX traded 410,758 contracts that month. But for your exact test question, the defensible answer is: around 1 FDAX-equivalent safely inside <2 points, maybe 2 if the book is decent and you accept 2.0 exactly; more than that requires live DOM at the exact open you mean. (Deutsche Börse Group)

    #260104 quote
    PeterSt
    Participant
    Master

    So this is the one AI against the other and I HATE IT.

    Just saying.


    And I keep on saying : nobody is helped with this over the top data which can only be interpreted by the person behind the AI wheel (be that Nicolas, myself, juld63 in this case, or anyone.


    I can read the responses of my own AI very well; it does not only know me – I also know “it”. But for the common listener – you’d get what you see in these two examples. To me it is both rubbish, unless I can throw my own sauce over it, which I can not do with Nicolas’ version.

    All I could say is that his is from years ago, which is a danger in itself.

    And mine ? what I can see of mine is that it will me more towards the real futures instead of CFD what the question was about, probably because I am into futures and not CFDs while juld63 IMO asks for CFDs explicitly. Maybe he still can make something of it, like “2 points are doable”. Why ? … hope for the best ?


    To each his own, but for me the forum posts become totally unreadable. And that is not really because of a lack of knowledge. That is merely because all is out of context. The context of the poor poster with a simple question who gets the most wild codes and trailings and stops and what not what he all did not ask for and meanwhile drowns in words and terms he all needs to learn first before getting to the first step.


    A forum / community IMHO is about people. People whom you trust for their capabilities or uncertainty in certain fields. With AI in between all become zombies. Myself obviously as well, which is because you quite automatically talk back to a robot like a robot.

    Do you want this ? then please go ahead.

    Is it avoidable ? probably not.

    Should it be stimulated ? I am not so sure because I find myself shouting at my AI at least half of the day. Does it shout at me ? never (that won’t take long I suppose).


    All ‘n all … If for example Nicolas copies something from his AI and it is plain wrong (chance on that I estimate at 50%) would I now per se tell him that he is off for a mile ? no I will not. This is related to respect. Meanwhile, however, the person asking the question is not helped. He/she learns the wrong thing quite explicitly and there will be no one left to correct it. Oh, another AI maybe.


    /endOfRant



    PS: The question itself from juld also seems not 100% free from AI influence. 🙂

    #260106 quote
    PeterSt
    Participant
    Master


    juld63 wrote: Hi everyone, Does anyone have an idea of the liquidity of the futures DAX at the opening of any day? How many, for example, would I be able to buy 25€ CFDs with a slippage inferior to 2 points?

    Hmm … I wonder – What are you going to do with the answer ?

    Can you define “Slippage” in the context you have in mind ?

    Can you define Slippage outside of that context ? Hint : no encyclopedia will give you the answer which is useful in your real context. So what is your real context ?


    Is that PRT ?


    What order are you trying to get there ? a Market Order ?

    And if Yes, when do you put it ? when markets are closed ? right after the opening ? is it an Algo doing it for you ?


    Or is it a Limit Order ?

    If Yes, what means Slippage in *that* case then ? will it be worse than with a Market Order ? or naturally better ? or won’t it matter ?

    When did you put that Limit Order ? again – when markets are closed ? or is it any random price above the market when markets were still open ? and when we’re at it anyway, are you among the not so few who find that the DAX opens at 09:00 (Amst) or 08:00, or is it at 02:15 at night ?

    Or is it explicitly at say 09:00 because other markets get involved (like European opening of stocks).


    How many more questions do you want to have or expect, before a decent / relevant answer can be given ?

    I am not saying that your question is not relevant. The contrary.


    All right. This post is not there to make fun of you or anything; I just thought to give a not-so AI response.

    Slippage IMO is the most important factor in losing money *if* you want to go out fast (like within a second). But slippage is merely : you go out because you think you’re in profit, while latency and much much more cause you to lose money instead. On top of that, Slippage emerges “everywhere” (bluntly said) and there will be no answer to your question without working out all there is. This includes the platform you use. Or the data you use. Or …

    Depending on your style of trading, slippage could be your largest enemy.


    :-):-)


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liquidity at the opening of DAX


General Trading: Market Analysis & Manual Trading

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juld63 @juld63 Participant
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This topic contains 4 replies,
has 3 voices, and was last updated by PeterSt
1 month, 2 weeks ago.

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Forum: General Trading: Market Analysis & Manual Trading
Language: English
Started: 04/03/2024
Status: Active
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