DAX 30 contado 25€ TF1m
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- This topic has 170 replies, 24 voices, and was last updated 6 years ago by Juanan71.
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11/11/2017 at 9:48 AM #52350
Thanks for this work on the code. That confirm what I thought: the time criteria has the function to select past winning trades, to obtain 100% in the backtest. But in real conditions, nothing happens at 15:22 or 15:52 that justify to take opposite direction in the same configuration. It’s just a past situation, amongst millions that have been analysed by proorder, that have ben selected because during the last months it is profitable a dozen of times. So I recommand to all to be very prudent. In fact, the 100% wins in backtest is not encouraging, but a signal that reality will be very different.
11/11/2017 at 9:57 AM #52351Exactly reality could be very diferent…but why? at same hour,and same minute and same indicators values happens ???like a planetary alineation…well is my theory and maybe is wrong but i should test for discart or continue:)…cuantitative trading??….if same conditions has repited 10 times ago and allways win….why? is not just a simply hour and time …theres many 15:22 and 15:52 in 1 month or 2 or 3 but…15:22 or 15:52 with exactly indicators values maybe not every month…when my system failed 2 or 3 continued times i will discart but by now testing in live from september(not in past mode) failed 2 times and that 2 times has been for a wrong code but not for a wrong system…(by now)…surely will fail but if it faiils 2 times and win 4…continues with profit for me
11/11/2017 at 10:03 AM #52352Why we use macd or stoc or others indicators? because we know than if macd is green or stoch is down and averages crosses and so and so price will go up…well we know that because in past has done than…so it’s the same just adding time to de equation….all of us are checking past like reference…check structures or movements and indicators or conditions but in past…future we can not see.all is in past based..i think
11/11/2017 at 10:09 AM #5235411/11/2017 at 10:16 AM #5235611/11/2017 at 11:14 AM #52359I want to say that I do not have trading studies, I do not have careers or masters. Three months ago I did not know what was a support or a resistance … I did not know what the market was and this is a first job that I happened to do Self-taught and that maybe should not be taken into account. I uploaded it so that you experts would advise me
11/11/2017 at 12:30 PM #52363Check…code is not shared in library strategies…just opened a topic for ask help
try to calculate…probablity of same time same hour same indicators value…so add probablity good or bad trade. i think could be a good idea…if not is no problem i will make other one.how many diferents inficadotors did u made?and allways win or maybe sonetimes inficators and pricendirection are not the same buuut the probablity of good trade is high…high…not infalible
11/11/2017 at 1:12 PM #52364As you asked, some of us told you their opinion, and it appear that they didn’t believe in the principles of the system (and some “authorities”here as Nicolas or Despair), but it is like an advise, and nobody here blame you for that code, and of course you can keep your opinion. So let’s “wait and see” as we are all agree for that.
11/11/2017 at 1:28 PM #5236511/11/2017 at 2:41 PM #5237011/11/2017 at 3:01 PM #52371So lets run in demo an check montly balance…will be the best for all of us.
i dont think many peoppleninterested but in that case i tell them…..im a novel, first time automatism, please check just in demo mode.Still need time to determine if it will be ok or no….please and please and please…take care….demo:) many thx
11/11/2017 at 3:10 PM #52372Juanan, as a beginner of auto trading, I think u did a great job, statistical research with histroy really bright some useful insight, no matter by month, week, day, hour or min, I belive most trader have their over habit by time, although I still can’t find it. As my experience,I belive when u try more and study more about WF, surely u can create a Wow system in near future.
11/11/2017 at 3:32 PM #52375I think its great to see you take a different approach. Because if someone is new, sometimes they think differently as the guys who do it so many years. And that’s good !
Sometimes patterns do occur in certain times, so don’t back down, keep going!
11/11/2017 at 4:15 PM #52384Statistical studies and/or machine learning introduce bias, we all know that for sure.
An opinion is not a certainty and since there are thousands of ways to profit from the market, and from my experience to have to work with so many people .. I think we have to give a chance to the ‘ ‘Juana’s theory’.
We always win to feed on the ideas of others. After all, seasonality concepts are well established and widely used in the trading community.Let’s see where all this can lead us 🙂
11/11/2017 at 4:39 PM #52385 -
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