Anybody else almost scared to go Long?

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  • #246039 quote
    THE TRADER
    Participant
    New

    Of course, I also said “study Elliott, but don’t pay too much attention to it”.

    I think there’s a difference between writing ironically, which is what I do…

    … and misrepresenting what others say. That’s what you do.

    I’m not going to waste any more time on this. If you think the Nasdaq is going to fall to 10,000, go short, and if you think the Nasdaq is going to rise to 30,000, go short too. 🙄

     

    Good luck to everyone.

    justisan thanked this post
    #246044 quote
    Zigo
    Participant
    Master

    See the attachement for a normal day.

    DAX-12-minuten17-4-2025.png DAX-12-minuten17-4-2025.png
    #246049 quote
    PeterSt
    Participant
    Master

    just another few trades among other few hundred trades per year, which do “not care” about if it is now up-trend, down-trend, where are the next supports and resistances

    A few hundred trades per what ?

     

    See the attachement for a normal day.

    Well, there you go. My normal (yester)day. Live-Live in Peter-GraHal terms. Maybe someone can figure out my indicators. Or point out the resistances. Supports then ? Waves ? Numbers ? It doesn’t work like that. The only thing which does work is dropping through to the next support level and forget about the current one. And the next. And … until it’s over. Was that one single trade ? then it could be over with your $ too. Do *I* care when it’s over ? of course not – easy to see. And am I scared to go Long ? Let’s see …  Hmm … apparently not. But I didn’t decide ! And hey, green in the rightmost columns are winners.
    Maybe I should put this to the Market Place ? Nah, why ?! The book maybe !

    image_2025-04-18_065759356.png image_2025-04-18_065759356.png image_2025-04-18_065841859.png image_2025-04-18_065841859.png image_2025-04-18_071111067.png image_2025-04-18_071111067.png
    #246054 quote
    justisan
    Participant
    Junior

    per year – as written in my text which you quote, PeterSt. but why is it of interest?

    anyway, looking at your „normal day“ my 600-700 trades per year do not compare to your heavy frequency, but do I care to compare? do you care? we trade in very different ways as we know. and actualy I work since few months on even reducing my frequency…

    happy easter!

    and cheers

    #246061 quote
    PeterSt
    Participant
    Master

    Of course it is of no importance regarding results. But it *is* of importance, proving definitely that no indicators *can* be used in my case. It is 100% technical.
    Ok, so is *that* of importance then ? –> also not.  But it is, I think, relevant to the question “do we dare to go Long still ?”.

    IMHO there is no single way that this market can be traded normally. That is, I would not be able to (manually, I mean). Not Long-only, not Short-only, not mixed. For the same reason, all Elliot Waves are BS – again, IMO. Envision – Go Long accidentally, and simply wait until the next support breaks, and lose another 20K. And another. No worries, Elliot will be right ! Yea, at some stage he will be. In this situation this very well may be when I am 100K under water (would I follow Market Place “principles”). Hey, I trade for myself and not for poor clients. It is the same as what the book tells – you can infinitely find such waves. But not within minutes, I’d say. It’s just not the method to go for. And with that : so much for any Market Place idea that I have seen so far. “Blame the market ?”. No. It is a challenge, that is all.

    justisan, it looks like you saw my last post as a kind of mild attack to your post. It was not, and I wouldn’t dare. We agree too much about everything – and Yes we trade differently. In between the lines it *is* all about the Market Place self promotion. Be that from the North or be that from the South. We again agree …

    Happy Easter to all !

    #246069 quote
    THE TRADER
    Participant
    New

    This is the last time I’m writing. For my part, this isn’t self-promotion. As you can see, I’ve written very little about my algorithms, and I’ve written about markets, Elliott, and support/resistance. And I’ve given you a very important key to medium- to long-term long-term trading, which, you’ll understand, is counterproductive to my bot “self-promotion.” It’s one thing not to understand it, and another not to want to understand it. Fly, little bird, fly to school, fly, fly, fly!

    #246196 quote
    LucasBest
    Participant
    Average

    Big Red Days are coming!

    #246261 quote
    LucasBest
    Participant
    Average

    Crystal ball indicates that today is THE perfect Day for a big U-turn… Let’s see if the Crytal Ball works or not.

    #246267 quote
    GraHal
    Participant
    Master

    Give us a a Timeframe and Instrument to watch?

    #246268 quote
    LucasBest
    Participant
    Average

    Give us a a Timeframe and Instrument to watch?

    If it has to happen, it is occurring right now… if it happens the day will be very very RED

    #246270 quote
    LucasBest
    Participant
    Average

    For now, it is the contrary that have more chance to happen. Very GREEN Day… What i said before is just a very contrarian possibility for now.

    #246273 quote
    JS
    Participant
    Senior

    Could be RED 🔥 — like a FIRESTORM. Biggest firestorm EVER. Nobody’s seen anything like it. So RED!!! Or GREEN 🌱 — like Super Bowl grass. The BEST green. I love Super Bowl. All green. Everyone’s talking about it. #VeryRed #VeryGreen #Tremendous

    #246283 quote
    LucasBest
    Participant
    Average

    Could be Very Green, could be Very Red, but i don’t see a Doji here… Either it breakout heavily, either it go up then U Turn and big drop. Next hour will maybe give us more clue

    #246294 quote
    justisan
    Participant
    Junior

    i saw the doji, I saw the signs…

    #246295 quote
    LucasBest
    Participant
    Average
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Anybody else almost scared to go Long?


General Trading: Market Analysis & Manual Trading

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This topic contains 169 replies,
has 14 voices, and was last updated by GraHal
7 months, 3 weeks ago.

Topic Details
Forum: General Trading: Market Analysis & Manual Trading
Language: English
Started: 04/03/2025
Status: Active
Attachments: 51 files
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